Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.
The model projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 8.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
DeAndre Hopkins has accrued far more air yards this season (120.0 per game) than he did last season (111.0 per game).
The Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.2%) versus WRs this year (71.2%).

Cons

Right now, the least pass-centric team in the league (56.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.9 plays per game.
The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
DeAndre Hopkins has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards