Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 18.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
- The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
- The New York Giants have utilized play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.4%) vs. TEs this year (63.4%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.63 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
