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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Kincaid from EV Insight

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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton KincaidReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Chiefs vs. Bills

Right now, Dalton Kincaid’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-110) after it opened @ 38.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This week, Dalton Kincaid is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 89th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.
  • Dalton Kincaid has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 17.1% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Dalton Kincaid has notched a massive 33.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • With an impressive 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (86th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid stands as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the league.
Cons

  • In terms of a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.97 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the strong Chiefs defense has allowed a mere 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-best in football.

Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Puka Nacua from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight