Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The New York Jets will be rolling out backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The predictive model expects the New York Jets offensive approach to skew 1.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett now calling the plays.
The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Zach Wilson’s 59.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable improvement in his passing accuracy over last year’s 55.9% figure.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in football (259.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.

Cons

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call just 64.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Zach Wilson is positioned as one of the worst per-play QBs in the league this year, averaging a measly 6.04 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 7th percentile.
The Houston cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
221
Passing Yards