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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cole Kmet from EV Insight

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Cole Kmet

Cole KmetReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Bears vs. Lions

Right now, Cole Kmet’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-114).

Pros

  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week’s game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • In this contest, Cole Kmet is projected by the projections to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.4 targets.
  • Cole Kmet has accrued a massive 27.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Cole Kmet’s 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a material boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 32.0 figure.
  • Cole Kmet’s 84.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 74.3% mark.
Cons

  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run only 61.8 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Cole Kmet’s 72.9% Route Participation Rate this season indicates an impressive decrease in his passing offense usage over last season’s 84.0% figure.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.9%) vs. TEs this year (69.9%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight