Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 249.5 yards (-132/+102).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 249.5 (+102) after it opened @ 256.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Eagles ranks as the best in football this year.
Jalen Hurts has been one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an impressive 67.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Cons

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.60 seconds per snap.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.
This year, the stout Cowboys defense has surrendered a meager 203.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (63.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards