Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Saints vs. Panthers
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-110).
Pros
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
- The New Orleans Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- In this game, Chris Olave is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
- Chris Olave has notched far more air yards this season (137.0 per game) than he did last season (114.0 per game).
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
- The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- With a lackluster 59.7% Adjusted Catch% (24th percentile) this year, Chris Olave has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among wideouts.
- With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Chris Olave places among the leading wide receivers in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
