Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 92.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 92.5 (-129) after it opened @ 91.5 (-119).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 7.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
- The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.89 seconds per snap.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in football.
- CeeDee Lamb’s 103.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a noteable gain in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 82.0 mark.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- This year, the formidable Eagles pass defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a measly 3.5 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
104
Receiving Yards
104
Receiving Yards
