Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Browns vs. Jaguars
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Browns may throw the ball less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
- Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
- The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 66.3 per game on average).
- The Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
- The projections expect Amari Cooper to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Jacksonville’s collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards
55
Receiving Yards
