Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tom BradyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Tom Brady’s passing yards prop is set at 250.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 250.5 (-110) after it opened @ 253.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense as the quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 40.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Cons
- Tom Brady has thrown for many fewer yards per game (286.0) this season than he did last season (319.0).
- Tom Brady has been among the least efficient passers in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.56 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 18th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (67.7%).
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.19 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
256
Passing Yards
256
Passing Yards
