WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 224.5 (-110) after it opened @ 228.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- Jalen Hurts has passed for substantially more yards per game (236.0) this season than he did last season (210.0).
- Jalen Hurts’s passing precision has improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 59.6% to 67.5%.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.94 yards-per-target while checking in at the 85th percentile.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.1 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in the NFL.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense this year (67.2%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
212
Passing Yards
212
Passing Yards
