Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Gardner MinshewPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Colts
Right now, Gardner Minshew’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 233.5 (-110) after it opened @ 226.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a massive 60.5 per game on average).
- This week, Gardner Minshew is predicted by the projections to average the 10th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 35.7.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (272.0 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.
Cons
- Gardner Minshew’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling just 6.66 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.77 figure last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards
224
Passing Yards
