Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Desmond Ridder from EV Insight

Desmond RidderPassing Yards

Right now, Desmond Ridder’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (-110) after it opened @ 190.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 61.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Falcons offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Desmond Ridder has attempted just 28.1 passes per game this year, ranking in the 21st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Desmond Ridder is positioned as one of the weakest passers in the league this year, averaging 182.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 24th percentile.
With a feeble 62.6% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, Desmond Ridder rates among the least on-target QBs in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
228
Passing Yards