NFL

Bets

December 10, 2023

Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-110).

Pros

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
In this game, Travis Etienne is anticipated by the projections to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 rush attempts.
After taking on 51.6% of his team’s carries last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the run game this season, currently making up 64.1%.
Travis Etienne has picked up 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (89th percentile).

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.6% run rate.
As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the impact it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Jacksonville Jaguars ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league last year.
Travis Etienne’s running efficiency has diminished this season, totaling a measly 3.71 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.06 mark last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards