Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Travis EtienneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Browns vs. Jaguars
Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
- In this game, Travis Etienne is anticipated by the projections to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 rush attempts.
- After taking on 51.6% of his team’s carries last season, Travis Etienne has been more involved in the run game this season, currently making up 64.1%.
- Travis Etienne has picked up 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (89th percentile).
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.6% run rate.
- As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the impact it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Jacksonville Jaguars ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league last year.
- Travis Etienne’s running efficiency has diminished this season, totaling a measly 3.71 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.06 mark last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards
74
Rushing Yards
