Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 217.5 (-110) after it opened @ 225.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
- The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- The Cleveland Browns O-line has afforded their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.4 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards
234
Passing Yards
