Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for C.J. Stroud from EV Insight

C.J. StroudPassing Yards

Right now, C.J. Stroud’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-114).

Pros

The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a terrific 277.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
With a fantastic 7.94 adjusted yards-per-target (89th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.

Cons

This week’s spread suggests a running game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 51.7% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
In this week’s contest, C.J. Stroud is expected by the predictive model to total the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.4.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.1 per game) this year.
C.J. Stroud is positioned as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a 62.4% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
191
Passing Yards