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Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for C.J. Stroud from EV Insight

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C.J. Stroud

C.J. StroudPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Jets vs. Texans

Right now, C.J. Stroud’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-114).

Pros

  • The projections expect the Texans to call the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a terrific 277.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
  • With a fantastic 7.94 adjusted yards-per-target (89th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.
Cons

  • This week’s spread suggests a running game script for the Texans, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 51.7% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • In this week’s contest, C.J. Stroud is expected by the predictive model to total the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.4.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.1 per game) this year.
  • C.J. Stroud is positioned as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a 62.4% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Projection
THE BLITZ
191
Passing Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Kincaid from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Nico Collins from EV Insight