Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Rams vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (154 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
- The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to start backup quarterback John Wolford this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Rams are a huge 7-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- The Rams have been the 9th-least run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.7% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per play.
- The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Rushing Yards
42
Rushing Yards
