Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Jack StollReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. Titans
Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 10.5 (+100) after it opened @ 9.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
- Jack Stoll has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (31.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (11.8%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (57.0) to TEs this year.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Jack Stoll has been among the weakest pass-game TEs this year, averaging just 9.0 yards per game while checking in at the 12th percentile among TEs.
- Jack Stoll has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in just 58.8% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.
- The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
11
Receiving Yards
11
Receiving Yards
