Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jack Stoll from EV Insight

Jack StollReceiving Yards

Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 10.5 (+100) after it opened @ 9.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
Jack Stoll has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (31.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (11.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (57.0) to TEs this year.

Cons

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jack Stoll has been among the weakest pass-game TEs this year, averaging just 9.0 yards per game while checking in at the 12th percentile among TEs.
Jack Stoll has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in just 58.8% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 17th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
11
Receiving Yards