Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jonathan TaylorRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Cowboys vs. Colts
Right now, Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 76.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to total 19.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
- Jonathan Taylor has received 80.9% of his offense’s carries this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
- The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the 5th-worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons
- The Colts are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
- Jonathan Taylor has run for quite a few less yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (116.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
95
Rushing Yards
95
Rushing Yards
