Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
CeeDee Lamb has accumulated many more air yards this year (101.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).

Cons

The Cowboys are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) to wideouts this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 7.66 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
93
Receiving Yards