Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Steelers vs. Cardinals
Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-120).
Pros
- This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- The leading projections forecast the Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects the Steelers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- Jaylen Warren’s 45.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a meaningful improvement in his rushing ability over last season’s 23.0 mark.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (146 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards
58
Rushing Yards
