Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-115) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).

Pros

The Seahawks are a heavy 9.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 66.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this game, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.2 targets.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cowboys, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.5 per game) this year.
D.K. Metcalf’s 60.1% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 65.0% rate.
This year, the imposing Cowboys defense has conceded a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in football.
The Cowboys pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.08 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
The Cowboys linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards