Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Packers vs. Chiefs
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-115) after it opened @ 70.5 (-125).
Pros
- A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Our trusted projections expect Isiah Pacheco to total 17.8 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
- After making up 40.9% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Isiah Pacheco has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 63.0%.
- Isiah Pacheco’s 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a material boost in his running skills over last year’s 50.0 figure.
- This year, the shaky Packers run defense has given up a colossal 137.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst in football.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- At the moment, the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
