Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Chuba HubbardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-106/-129).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 41.5 (-129) after it opened @ 43.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 62.4 plays per game.
- After taking on 22.5% of his team’s carries last season, Chuba Hubbard has been more involved in the ground game this season, now comprising 44.0%.
- The Carolina offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year in run-blocking.
- When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay’s group of DEs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the league. in the league.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
- The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to run on 42.0% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the projections to call only 64.5 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- Chuba Hubbard’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year represents an impressive diminishment in his rushing talent over last year’s 4.7 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards
53
Rushing Yards
