Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-115) after it opened @ 27.5 (-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.2 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Tyler Higbee has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (82.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (69.7%).
In this game, Tyler Higbee is projected by the projections to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.2 targets.
After accruing 19.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Higbee has seen a big uptick this year, now averaging 28.0 per game.

Cons

This game’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Tyler Higbee has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Tyler Higbee rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a measly 66.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards