Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Tonyan from EV Insight

Robert TonyanReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Tonyan’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 24.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to total 4.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has been a big part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 14.0% this year, which puts him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Robert Tonyan has been among the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an impressive 32.0 yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Robert Tonyan’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 83.7%.

Cons

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards