Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice from EV Insight

Rashee RiceReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-120) after it opened @ 48.5 (-120).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Rashee Rice checks in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 80.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Rashee Rice profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a remarkable 10.68 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Rashee Rice has been one of the best wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 8.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 99th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) vs. WRs this year (68.4%).

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
At the moment, the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Kansas City Chiefs.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
The Green Bay cornerbacks profile as the 9th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards