NFL

Bets

November 30, 2023

Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).

Pros

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.3 plays per game.
In this game, Evan Engram is expected by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.7 targets.
Evan Engram has posted a massive 34.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With a terrific 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, Evan Engram places as one of the top TE receiving threats in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (68.0) vs. TEs this year.

Cons

This week’s line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see just 124.1 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards