Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Cade Otton has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (86.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.9%).
In this contest, Cade Otton is projected by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.
After accumulating 23.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has shown good development this year, now boasting 30.0 per game.
Cade Otton’s possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 66.2% to 75.2%.
This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers defense has been torched for the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a colossal 8.33 yards.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive gameplan to skew 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
This week’s line implies a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 128.6 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton ranks among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL in the open field.

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards