Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Texans vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-106/-129).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-129) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
- Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his offense’s pass attack this season (26.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (20.2%).
- Amari Cooper has posted many more receiving yards per game (76.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
- The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) to WRs this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards
71
Receiving Yards
