NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Matthew StaffordPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Rams vs. Browns
Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 219.5 yards (+105/-140).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 219.5 (-140) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.2 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
- The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
- Matthew Stafford has attempted 36.1 passes per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
- Matthew Stafford’s 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a material progression in his passing prowess over last year’s 220.0 mark.
Cons
- This game’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Matthew Stafford’s 60.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his passing precision over last year’s 65.3% mark.
- This year, the formidable Browns defense has yielded a meager 157.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards
243
Passing Yards
