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Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

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Matthew Stafford

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 13

Rams vs. Browns

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 219.5 yards (+105/-140).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 219.5 (-140) after it opened @ 237.5 (-115).

Pros

  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.2 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Matthew Stafford has attempted 36.1 passes per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • Matthew Stafford’s 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a material progression in his passing prowess over last year’s 220.0 mark.
Cons

  • This game’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Matthew Stafford’s 60.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his passing precision over last year’s 65.3% mark.
  • This year, the formidable Browns defense has yielded a meager 157.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the best in the league.

Projection
THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards

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