Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matt Ryan from EV Insight

Matt RyanPassing Yards

Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-115).

Pros

The Colts are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
Matt Ryan has passed for substantially more yards per game (266.0) this year than he did last year (234.0).

Cons

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have passed for the least yards in football (just 199.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.96 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
263
Passing Yards