Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Zach Charbonnet from EV Insight

Zach CharbonnetRushing Yards

Right now, Zach Charbonnet’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-112) after it opened @ 52.5 (-113).

Pros

This week, Zach Charbonnet is expected by the predictive model to land in the 80th percentile among running backs with 14.5 carries.
While Zach Charbonnet has garnered 26.6% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Seattle’s rushing attack in this game at 65.6%.
Zach Charbonnet’s running efficiency (5.11 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (88th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Cons

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 36.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 56.0 per game on average).
The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 79.0 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards