Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Najee HarrisRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Bengals vs. Steelers
Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-114/-114).
Pros
- Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 45.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
- This week, Najee Harris is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.3 rush attempts.
- Among all running backs, Najee Harris grades out in the 86th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 55.2% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
- This year, the strong Cincinnati Bengals run defense has yielded a feeble 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 30th-smallest rate in the league.
- As it relates to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Cincinnati’s collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football. in football.
Cons
- Najee Harris has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
- With an awful total of 3.67 adjusted yards per carry (22nd percentile) this year, Najee Harris rates as one of the bottom running backs in the league at the position.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards
66
Rushing Yards
