Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Eagles vs. Packers
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 71.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Miles Sanders has run for quite a few more yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (57.0).
- Opposing teams have run for the 8th-most yards in football (138 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
Cons
- The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards
78
Rushing Yards
