Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Bengals vs. Steelers
Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-130) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).
Pros
- Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
- After accounting for 16.3% of his offense’s run game usage last season, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at 31.9%.
- Jaylen Warren has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).
- This year, the strong Cincinnati Bengals run defense has yielded a feeble 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 30th-smallest rate in the league.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
