Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devin Singletary from EV Insight

Devin SingletaryRushing Yards

Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (+110/-140).

The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (+110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.
Among all running backs, Devin Singletary ranks in the 77th percentile for carries this year, making up 41.7% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.

Cons

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to run on 40.4% of their chances: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
The Houston O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 90.0 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Jacksonville’s group of DEs has been very good this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards