Pros
- The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.8% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects Tyreek Hill to total 10.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- Tyreek Hill has been an integral part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 32.1% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- Tyreek Hill’s 117.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 92.0 mark.
- Tyreek Hill’s possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 70.8% to 74.9%.
Cons
- This week’s line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 10th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
- Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 33.2 per game) this year.
- After accruing 131.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has fallen off this season, now sitting at 119.0 per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
90
Receiving Yards