Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Terry McLaurin from EV Insight

Terry McLaurinReceiving Yards

Right now, Terry McLaurin’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-114).

Pros

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive gameplan to skew 13.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a giant -13.5-point underdog in this game.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 70.3% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Terry McLaurin is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.1 targets.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.34 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.
Terry McLaurin’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, accumulating just 8.03 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.90 rate last season.
Terry McLaurin’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching a mere 3.80 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.84 rate last year.
This year, the formidable Dallas Cowboys defense has given up a mere 108.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards