Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tee HigginsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Titans vs. Bengals
Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-115) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to earn 9.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
- Tee Higgins has put up many more receiving yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- Tee Higgins has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
- The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards
78
Receiving Yards
