Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Romeo Doubs from EV Insight

Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards

Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-114) after it opened @ 37.5 (-114).

Pros

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Packers being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 64.3% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Romeo Doubs is projected by the projections to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets.
Romeo Doubs has accrued significantly more air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).

Cons

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by the model to call only 61.9 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Romeo Doubs’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 66.2% to 63.2%.
Romeo Doubs has been one of the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a mere 7.15 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile among WRs
The Detroit Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
57
Receiving Yards