Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Nico CollinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Texans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Nico Collins’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-114/-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
- The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
- The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to notch 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Nico Collins has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
Cons
- This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.8 YAC.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville’s group of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards
65
Receiving Yards
