Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Nico Collins from EV Insight

Nico CollinsReceiving Yards

Right now, Nico Collins’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-114/-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to notch 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Nico Collins has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

Cons

This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.8 YAC.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville’s group of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards