NFL

Bets

November 23, 2023

Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jordan Addison from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards

Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).

Pros

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be forced to use backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.
Jordan Addison has run a route on 85.8% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jordan Addison is positioned as one of the worst wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards