Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jordan AddisonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Vikings vs. Bears
Right now, Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be forced to use backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
- The Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.
- Jordan Addison has run a route on 85.8% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Jordan Addison is positioned as one of the worst wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
