Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Foster Moreau from EV Insight

Foster MoreauReceiving Yards

Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-130) after it opened @ 35.5 (-114).

Pros

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Foster Moreau has been used less as a potential target this season (61.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (47.3%).
Foster Moreau has notched many more receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (78.0) versus TEs this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards