Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Evan EngramReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Texans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+112/-143).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+112) after it opened @ 44.5 (-117).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projection model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average).
- Evan Engram rates as one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 47.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
- The Houston Texans defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) versus tight ends this year.
Cons
- The Houston Texans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards
50
Receiving Yards
