Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram from EV Insight

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+112/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+112) after it opened @ 44.5 (-117).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projection model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average).
Evan Engram rates as one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 47.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The Houston Texans defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) versus tight ends this year.

Cons

The Houston Texans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards