Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Raiders vs. Chiefs
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-120/-110).
Pros
- An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- This week, Davante Adams is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.2 targets.
- When it comes to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a whopping 126.0 per game.
- With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Davante Adams has been more heavily utilized in his team’s passing offense.
Cons
- The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.7% pass rate.
- The projections expect the Raiders to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.7 per game on average).
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- Davante Adams’s 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable reduction in his receiving talent over last year’s 89.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Receiving Yards
86
Receiving Yards
