Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-120/-110).

Pros

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
This week, Davante Adams is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.2 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a whopping 126.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Davante Adams has been more heavily utilized in his team’s passing offense.

Cons

The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.7% pass rate.
The projections expect the Raiders to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.7 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
Davante Adams’s 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable reduction in his receiving talent over last year’s 89.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Receiving Yards