Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Kirk from EV Insight

Christian KirkReceiving Yards

Right now, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-109/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-109) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projection model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average).
Christian Kirk profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 67.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
This year, the porous Houston Texans defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 9.00 yards.

Cons

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston’s collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards