Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Christian KirkReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Texans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-109/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-109) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the projection model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average).
- Christian Kirk profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 67.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
- This year, the porous Houston Texans defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 9.00 yards.
Cons
- As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston’s collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
