Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Broncos vs. Browns
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-105) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 66.9 plays per game.
- In this game, Amari Cooper is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
- Amari Cooper has notched far more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
- Amari Cooper slots into the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 64.4 mark this year.
- The Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cons
- Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 52.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by the predictive model to call only 63.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
- Amari Cooper’s 60.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 64.9% mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
