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Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

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Amari Cooper

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Broncos vs. Browns

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-105) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 66.9 plays per game.
  • In this game, Amari Cooper is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
  • Amari Cooper has notched far more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • Amari Cooper slots into the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 64.4 mark this year.
  • The Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cons

  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 52.0% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by the predictive model to call only 63.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
  • Amari Cooper’s 60.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 64.9% mark.

Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards

Previous TNF Plays: Best Props for the Week 12 NFL Thanksgiving Slate Next Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aidan O’Connell from EV Insight
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