Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 52.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a heavy 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.7% to 65.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.2%) to wide receivers this year (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 7.09 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards